What might the new government look like? How will Taliban rule be experienced by Afghans? What are the group’s immediate challenges? And how are outside powers likely to – and how should they – respond? In that light, it is important to identify several emerging policy dilemmas and issues to watch. Installation of a new administration – much less a new Islamic state system, the contours of which the Taliban have so far only hinted at – is barely nascent. Running through the many near-term questions about what Taliban rule will look like are three fundamental and inter-related uncertainties: what are the Taliban leadership’s intentions? To what extent might those intentions diverge from the attitudes and behaviour of the Taliban’s military commanders and fighters (that is, those now exercising authority on the ground throughout the country)? To what extent will the leadership wish to or be able to overcome any such divergences? Even if they did, it should not be assumed that the current Taliban approach will be long-lasting. The disparate and inconsistent signals do not yet form a clear pattern. Information from elsewhere in the country is sparse.
Kabul, apart from the desperate scenes at the airport related to the rushed and unplanned evacuation, is reported by some to have been largely quiet in the initial days, though there are also reports of Taliban harassing some of those trying to reach the airport. There appear to be instances of reprisals and intimidation, especially directed at Afghans associated with the erstwhile government and its foreign supporters. At the same time, the limited anecdotal reporting of Taliban interactions with the population in areas newly under their control paints a mixed picture. So far, the policy announcements from Taliban spokesmen are crafted to be reassuring, though vague, declaring that there will be no revenge taking, saying girls and women will continue to be allowed education and employment (within unclear parameters), telling journalists that they can continue to report and calling for calm. Just over a week after the Afghan government’s collapse and the Taliban’s return to Kabul, there are more questions than answers about how the Taliban, back in de facto power in Afghanistan after twenty years, will rule the country. This briefing note highlights several key issues to watch. It is too soon to know for sure what Afghanistan’s new government will look like and what policies it will pursue. Posted Originally published Origin View original Open training opportunities in the humanitarian field.Īfghanistan Taliban rule begins in Afghanistan Format Analysis Source
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